Tomorrow morning Jennifer Lawrence will get up early to announce the Oscar nominations. Here's how I think they will shake down. I think this is basically the same as what I said the last time, but now I really mean it. You can read Julie's thoughts, as always, here.
Best Picture:
1) The Artist (Golden Globe win, SAG nomination, BFCA win, PGA win, DGA nomination)
2) The Descendants (Golden Globe win, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination, PGA nomination, DGA nomination, WGA nomination)
3) Midnight in Paris (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination, PGA nomination, DGA nomination, WGA nomination)
4) Hugo (Golden Globe nomination, BFCA nomination, PGA nomination, DGA nomination, WGA nomination)
5) The Help (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination, PGA nomination, WGA nomination)
6) Moneyball (Golden Globe nomination, BFCA nomination, PGA nomination, WGA nomination)
7) The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (PGA nomination, DGA nomination, WGA nomination)
8) War Horse (Golden Globe nomination, BFCA nomination, PGA nomination)
(There will be between five and ten nominations, I'm guessing it will be eight this year.)
Best Director:
1) The Artist, Michael Hazanavicius (Golden Globe nomination, BFCA win, DGA nomination)
2) Hugo, Martin Scorsese (Golden Globe win, BFCA nomination, DGA nomination)
3) The Descendants, Alexander Payne (Golden Globe nomination, BFCA nomination, DGA nomination)
4) The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, David Fincher (DGA nomination)
5) Midnight in Paris, Woody Allen (Golden Globe nomination)
Best Actor:
1) George Clooney, The Descendants (Golden Globe win, SAG nomination, BFCA win)
2) Jean Dujardin, The Artist (Golden Globe win, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination)
3) Brad Pitt, Moneyball (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination)
4) Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination)
5) Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Best Actress:
1) Viola Davis, The Help (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination, BFCA win)
2) Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady (Golden Globe win, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination)
3) Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn (Golden Globe win, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination)
4) Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination)
5) Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination)
Best Supporting Actor:
1) Christopher Plummer, Beginners (Golden Globe win, SAG nomination, BFCA win)
2) Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination)
3) Albert Brooks, Drive (Golden Globe nomination, BFCA nomination)
4) Nick Nolte, Warrior (SAG nomination, BFCA nomination)
5) Ben Kingsley, Hugo
Best Supporting Actress:
1) Octavia Spencer, The Help (Golden Globe win, SAG nomination, BFCA win)
2) Bernice Bejo, The Artist (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination)
3) Jessica Chastain, The Help (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination, BFCA nomination)
4) Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs (Golden Globe nomination, SAG nomination)
5) Shailene Woodley, The Descendants (Golden Globe nomination, BFCA nomination)
Best Original Screenplay:
1) Midnight in Paris (Golden Globe win, BFCA win, WGA nomination)
2) The Artist (Golden Globe nomination, BFCA nomination)
3) 50/50 (BFCA nomination, WGA nomination)
4) Bridesmaids (WGA nomination)
5) Young Adult (BFCA nomination, WGA nomination)
Best Adapted Screenplay:
1) Moneyball (Golden Globe nomination, BFCA win, WGA nomination)
2) The Descendants (Golden Globe nomination, BFCA nomination, WGA nomination)
3) The Help (BFCA nomination, WGA nomination)
4) Hugo (BFCA nomination, WGA nomination)
5) The Ides of March (Golden Globe nomination)
Previous Predictions - 1/11/12, 12/27/11, 11/24/11
Monday, January 23, 2012
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